Umbhobho wentsimbi waseTshayina Woyisa uLwandle oluNzulu

Ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, zonke iitoni ze-1, i-100 yeetoni zamanzi anzulu ezinyukayo ze-Chat City Changshengda Steel Pipe ziya kugqunywa kwaye ziya kufakwa phantsi kolwandle. Iimpawu zeli qela leemveliso ziye zadlula ukuhlolwa kwamaziko aqeqeshiweyo ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe, nto leyo ebonisa ukuba siye sanqoba iingxaki zobugcisa "zentamo exinyiweyo" kwiindawo eziphambili zesizwe kwaye zimise isiganeko esibalulekileyo sokuhlala kwindawo yeoli ye-deep-sea. kunye negesi "umqala wendlela" umbhobho wentsimbi. Kuxelwe ukuba le bhetshi yemibhobho yibhetshi yokuqala yezinyusi zamanzi anzulu ezikumgangatho omkhulu wasekhaya e-China, ezithi zisetyenziswe kwindawo yokuqala yaseTshayina ezisebenza ngokwayo irhasi yamanzi anzongonzongo. Umfanekiso ubonisa iqonga lemveliso ye-CNOOC ye-offshore.

Imbonakalo yokusebenza kwemibhobho engenamthungo ngo-2024

1. Ukusuka kumbono omkhulu, malunga neengcinga zomgaqo-nkqubo we-macro ka-2024, iNkomfa yezoQoqosho yamva nje ibonise ukuba kuyimfuneko ukuqinisa ukulungiswa kwe-counter-cyclical kunye ne-cross-cyclical yemigaqo-nkqubo ye-macro, ukuqhubeka nokuphumeza imigaqo-nkqubo yemali esebenzayo kunye nemali enobulumko. imigaqo-nkqubo, kunye nokomeleza ukusungulwa kunye nolungelelwaniso lwezixhobo zomgaqo-nkqubo.

I-IMF kunye ne-Goldman Sachs iqikelela uqoqosho lwase-China kwi-4. 6% kunye ne-4. 8%, ngokulandelelanayo. Ngo-2024, ukungonelanga kwemfuno kusengumqobo, ukukhula kotyalo-mali kulinganiselwe, iziseko zophuhliso, izindlu nomhlaba kunye nokukhula kotyalo-mali kwimizi-mveliso kucotha, utyalo-mali lwabucala lufuna inkuthazo, kwaye imfuno yemalike yesiqhelo eYurophu nase-United States ayomelelanga.

Umgaqo-mali wezemali kulindeleke ukuba usebenzise amandla aphakathi ukukhuthaza inqanaba lexabiso eliphakathi, kwaye kusekho indawo yokunciphisa i-RRR yasekhaya kwixesha elizayo. I-Goldman Sachs ibikezela ukucuthwa kwe-RRR ezintathu kunye nokunciphisa inzala enye, nto leyo ithetha ukuba umgaqo-mali wase-China ngokuqhelekileyo unobundlobongela kwaye ufana no-2023. Ngokubhekiselele kwimingcipheko kamva, iNkomfa yoMsebenzi woQoqosho oluPhakathi yathi imingcipheko ye-real estate yexesha elizayo, iingozi zetyala lendawo kunye neengozi zamaziko emali amancinci naphakathi kufuneka ziqwalaselwe kwaye zisonjululwe ngokufanelekileyo. Iingozi zokwenziwa kwemveli nazo zinokubakho ukwanda.

2. Ukusuka kwicala lokubonelela, umthamo wokuvelisa umbhobho ongenamthungo phantsi kwe-2024 uyaqhubeka nokukhula ngenxa yobukho babangenayo abatsha, kodwa kunye nemigca ethile yokuvelisa enokuthi iphume okanye imise imveliso, amandla okuvelisa okanye ukunyuka kuncinci; Njengoko ukhuphiswano lulonke kwimarike yombhobho engenamthungo iya kuqhubeka iqina, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla kwisiqingatha sesibini sonyaka lingancipha kancinane, kwaye isiphumo sisonke sinokuba nomkhwa othile wokuhla;

3. FI-rom kwicala lemfuno, imfuno yombhobho yaphesheya engenamthungo (inokuba yeyona iphambili) ichatshazelwa ngabaninzi, okanye inqanaba elithile "lokupholisa", ukusebenza kwemfuno yasekhaya kwikota yokuqala ngokusisiseko kucaba, ikota yesibini ifuna ukubuyiswa okanye ikhatshwa kukuxhathisa okuthile. , isiqingatha sesibini semfuno jikelele kulindeleke ukuba siphucule i-marginal, kodwa umbhobho ongenamthungo jikelele wemfuno yokutshintsha ukusebenza okanye encinci.

4. Fi-rom imbono yezinto eziluhlaza, umehluko ubonakala ngakumbi kwinkalo ye-tube billet, kunye nenzuzo yamashishini e-billet rolling igcinwa kwizinga eliphantsi ixesha elide ngenxa yoxinzelelo olukhuphisanayo; Amashishini enkqubo emide kunye nefutshane okanye ixesha elifutshane eliphantsi emva kokubuyela kwakhona.